Storm Emeralda, the Japanese set built around Mega Rayquaza, released July 31, 2026. Its two top chases, the Mega Rayquaza ex SAR (110/076) and the rarer MUR (113/076), are both already trading at levels that put them out of reach for most box breakers.
The pull rate that's driving the price
Early data from 46 opened boxes (1,380 packs) found the MUR and SAR landing just twice each, roughly 1 in 23 boxes for either one. Some trackers put the MUR specifically closer to 1 in 50 to 100 boxes based on how the broader Mega series sets have run. Across a full case, expect around 83% of packs to yield nothing rarer than a regular Rare.
What that pull rate means in yen
The MUR debuted with buyback offers above 300,000 yen. The SAR, easier to pull but still scarce, broke 90,000 yen shortly after release. Those aren't hypothetical asking prices, they're what Japanese buyback shops were actually paying within days of the set hitting shelves.
Worth chasing, or worth buying pulled
At those odds, a single box is a lottery ticket, not a plan to pull either chase. If either card is the goal rather than the pack opening experience, buying it already pulled from a reputable seller is the more predictable route, the same math that applies to any set with a sub 1% per box chase.
Frequently asked questions
- When did Storm Emeralda release in Japan?
The official Japanese release date was July 31, 2026.
- Are early pull rates guaranteed?
No. They are estimates from observed boxes and can change as a larger sample is recorded.
