Pitch Black came out July 17 and it's still the set on shelves. 120 cards, eight rarity tiers, and one card driving most of the pack opening videos: Mega Darkrai ex. If you've pulled one, or you're trying to figure out whether a box is worth the money, here's what the numbers actually say.
How rare is rare
A Special Illustration Rare of some kind lands roughly once every 3 to 4 boxes, that part's normal for this era of sets. Mega Darkrai ex specifically is a different story. Collectors tracking a run of over 750 packs opened only found it once. A separate hunt through 500 packs looking specifically for that card came up with zero. Put together, that puts it somewhere around 1 in 20 to 30 boxes, not per pack.
What the top pulls are selling for
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Mega Darkrai ex Special Illustration Rare
The chase of the set. Recent sales cluster higher than the card's early listings, most landing between $240 and $250.
Selling$240 to 250
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Mega Darkrai ex full art, 099/081
The easier version of the same card. Nowhere near the SIR in price, but the one most people opening a box actually end up with.
Selling~$18
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Mega Chandelure ex
Averaged around $80 ungraded in the weeks right after release. That's already sliding, with recent sales closer to $60 or under.
Selling~$60 to 80
Mega Zeraora ex and Gwynn round out the set's short list of real chases. Both are Special Illustration Rares too, both worth checking before you assume a Pitch Black pull is just bulk.
Worth opening, or worth buying already pulled
At roughly 1 in 20 to 30 boxes for the card everyone wants, opening a single box to chase Mega Darkrai ex is a bet more than a plan. If the SIR itself is the goal, buying the pulled card outright is usually the cheaper and faster way to get it. If the fun is in opening packs, the full art and Chandelure still make most boxes worth breaking.
Frequently asked questions
- Are Pitch Black pull rates official?
No. Published odds come from observed openings and remain estimates, not guarantees from The Pokémon Company.
- How large is the English set?
Pitch Black contains 120 cards, including its numbered base set and secret rarities.


